A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. Changes at outdoor shop: Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Occupation:Assistant principal,Brevard Public Schools, Education:Bachelors degree in psychology and elementary education; master's degree in educational leadership, Political/government/civic experience:Elected to Melbourne City Council in November 2018; member of the Space Coast League of Cities board of directors; treasurer of the Space Coast League of Cities; appointed vice mayor in November 2021, Campaign email:reelectjsanders2022@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:sanders4mlbcouncil.com; Facebook: Reelect Julie Sanders 2022;Instagram: Juliesanders2873. Bandt describes himself as a book nerd and live music fan and at the time of his election was completing a PhD in Law and Politics at Monash University. At Michael Danby's last election in 2016, the Liberals polled 41.9% on first preferences to Labor 27.0% and the Greens 23.8%. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. Results ranged from 56.9% at Library at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4% at the Sacred Heart School in Fitzroy. The departure of Danby in 2019 saw a boost in Labor vote, though whether this was a coincidence with of consequence of Danby's departure is impossible to say. Crossing Hotham Street is where you notice an immediate difference. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. Continue with the septic-to-sewer program helping residents who voluntarily want to discontinue septic and connect to sewer at a reduced cost. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but its unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. Agents must notify Ports Victoria of any changes to this schedule. Harkin undertook secondary schooling was at Presentation College, Windsor, where she was an avid debater and State finals speaker). The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. . I think there are enough Right Wing Micro Party Party votes to push Libs ahead into first. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. And Vice Mayor Julie Sanders faces Adam Woodworth in the District 6 race. I thought this was Labours until I read ABCs Anthony Greens column in which he said he was going to call it for Labour, until the Labour candidate for Macnamara phoned him and said the Greens could still win it. . and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . What a fascinating race this has turned into. Trent had already calculated the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park based on the May federal results. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. The incumbent, Debbie Thomas, is wrapping up her second consecutive term, and cannot run for reelection because of termlimits. I would argue if they preferenced the cookers last and Michael OBrien was the leader they would have done better here. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. Holding was replaced by Michael Danby in 1998, and Danby held the seat for the next two decades, retiring in 2019. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. I don't have a top three issues. Labor 32.94% 2. The votes in these categories already counted are favouring Greens by a good enough margin to close the gap between Labor and Greens on primary which makes it likely for Greens to overtake Labor on minor Party preferences at the 3pp stage. I also support a public/private partnership between government and private enterprise to create a network of community land trusts throughout the county to provide long-term stewardship and conservation of open space and natural resources. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, A4 map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 785KB], Map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 13.4MB], 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. While Macnamara is mentioned as a possible Green gain, the playing field from which the Greens might emerge as victors differs greatly from that in traditional Labor seats north of the Yarra. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). All the seats on the ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the parties that currently lead them on the current counts. Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. I can see the Greens overtaking Labor. Road improvements and joint cooperation with the state of Florida, Melbourne Airport and Brevard County to widen Ellis Road. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. This will be the last seat to be called I think. Hodgins-May was the Green candidate for Ballarat at the 2013 federal election and came close to victory contesting Melbourne Ports at the 2016 election but did not poll as strongly in 2019. Melbourne Ports) Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Tim Hollo Candidate for Canberra Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle 3. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. This must be a record for having the biggest difference between the primary vote and 2PP vote. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the Melbourne Airport Authority, which will overseea proposed $41 million budget next year. This may be due to Melbourne having a sitting Green MP in Adam Bandt, or be related to Labor pulling out of campaigning after disendorsing its candidate. Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. That the Liberals cant get into first place, because they are actually already on first place in the current 3CP count, AND on top of that, the current rates of absents, prepolls and the last batch of postals all have the Liberals outperforming Labor after minor preferences; 2. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. West Melbourne is building our own water plant, and now were talking about having our own fire stations. Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. Dont get me wrong. I project the following based on whats left to count: LIB 33.5% ALP Just over 33.3% GRN Just under 33.2%. Where possible, the natural flow and filtering of runoff must be restored. New developments cannot be at the expense of our existing neighborhoods. What are the top two to three issues in Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? Pht sng trc tip trn u Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 trong khun kh gii VQG Jordan full HD tc cao vi bnh lun min ph ti Trc Tip Bng . Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. Contact Neale at 321-242-3638 or rneale@floridatoday.com. . Elected Councillors were sworn in at a Special Council Meeting held on 11 November 2020. Further, I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department. Yesterday ABC only called Brisbane for Greens after the Labour candidate made a concession call to the Green candidate. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. Attracting and retaining businesses, while improving our infrastructure to keep up with the growth. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, Adams said. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general electionballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. Born and raised in Caulfield, Burns is the grandson of Jewish migrants who left Europe and settled in Melbourne in search of a safe place to raise their families. J.D. It is important to maintain our roads before they become a costly problem. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. Holloway had won a shock victory over Prime Minister Stanley Bruce in the seat of Flinders in 1929, before moving to the much-safer Melbourne Ports in 1931. Current 3CP count: 1. UAP 4.88%, 1. Redistribution Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. Redistribution Macnamara lost Windsor to Higgins. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. You have entered an incorrect email address! Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . This model has been successfully used in other communities across the country. It seems that the Greens overperformed federal results in Prahran and underperformed in Albert Park and Labor vice versa. Theres an estimated 6500 ballots left to count, and if they continue to break the same way they currently are, and Covid votes also favour the Greens, they will be on track to erase that deficit, while the strong preference flow to the Libs also keeps them ahead of Labor, dropping Labor to third place. Not just passing legislation in the House if representatives but also the symbolism of legitimacy that Anthony Albanese won a majority in his own right. Because 500 votes separated the Greens from Labor, and in all seats covering Macnamara, the Greens had an increase in primary votes, 8% in Prahran, 4% in Albert Park, and even 1.1% in Caulfield with a teal running. Labor will be desperate to hang on to its own newly-acquired seats, and presumably also very keen to protect and help the Independents as well. The video of the event is the second of the three videos below. Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. Melbourne has experienced much growth in the quality of life, business opportunities and the arts. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. If anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Josh Burns. Twitter: @JDGallop. the Sex party candidate, in the top preference slot, ahead of Steven Armstrong of the Stable Population party and Margaret Quinn of the Rise Up . What they care about is what matters to me. I will support the septic-to-sewer program, install more baffle boxes, encourage the use of low-impact development, and decrease our dependence on Lake Washington as our water source. This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? Patreons analysis is on the money and there could actually be up to 6500 votes left if more postals are received (the last batch actually did break 26 LIB, 29 ALP, 33 GRN, 12 OTH which is enough to keep the Liberals ahead of Labor). She recently resigned from the office of Senator Hon Jane Hume. Growth will continue in West Melbourne," Johnson said. Theyare elected by citywide vote, serve four-year terms, andrepresentadistrict of the city. My prediction here is that the Greens will probably fall *just* short of knocking Labor out of second place, because just too much has to go right for them with such a small margin of error for it to happen. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. Four incumbents Mayor Paul Alfrey,District 1 Council Member Tim Thomas,District 3 Council Member Yvonne Minus andDistrict 5 Council Member Mimi Hanley are not on the ballot this fall. This article displays an image of an official 2022 sample ballot from Florida. Political/government/civic experience: U.S. Coast Guard veteran; educator inradiologic technology; four Afghanistan deployments with the Department of Defense contractorRemote Medical International; Golf Club Estates Civic Associationboard of directors and treasurer, Campaign email:alison.dietrich@brevardhealth.org, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: None listed. A study reviewing the need for a city fire station could come before the mayor and the other six CityCouncil members by October. Josh Burns came first on primaries and he can thank the collapse in the Liberal vote. 1966 was the last time the Liberal PV was below 30% in Melbourne Ports / Macnamara. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. Damches has a bachelor's degree in International Relations and worked in retail and fashion before working as a legal assistant. Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. William Bowes update on PB tonight sums it up well and he states that based on whats left and how the numbers are falling, things are now trending the Greens way. In 3CP terms after minor preferences, thats 32.2% LIB, 30.5% ALP, 37.3% GRN if postals continue flowing like the last batch too (and every single batch has been moving in that same direction). [3], Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}375122S 1445834E / 37.856S 144.976E / -37.856; 144.976, Electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports, "2016 Census QuickStats: Melbourne Ports", "Victoria gets new seat named after Malcolm Fraser, ACT gains one called Bean", "Profile of the electoral division of Macnamara (Vic)", Division of Melbourne Ports - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Melbourne_Ports&oldid=1092465625, Retired after Melbourne Ports was abolished in 2019, This page was last edited on 10 June 2022, at 13:16. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. . First Preference Results 1983-2019 (Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. Immediately below is the video of the event. Every pollster, except Resolve Strategic, overestimated Labour support and Essential correctly called L/NP support. This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. Long post I know, but in short the Liberals are already ahead of Labor on 3CP terms, and if vote continue to break exactly as they have been, they grow their lead while the Greens continue to catch up. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. Liberal 33.67% (31,327) 2. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with. There are 4,658 envelopes waiting to processed, only 200 of them are postals, they are late arriving postals which I guess will favour Greens or break even. Results 1983-2019. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. Stephen Mayne was the moderator. Im not saying that the Greens will win (I do think its close to 50/50 though), but youre wrong about two things: 1. When comparing Greens and Labor. The top issues in West Melbourne are the water quality, flooding and safety services. The first preference vote graph is reflected in many inner-Melbourne electorate, with a rise in Green support mirrored by a decline in Labor first preference vote. Thats extraordinary, quite possibly the closest 3 way 3CP count ever, and I think a full 3CP recount if its that close is a very likely possibility. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. Crean served as Treasurer for the first two years of the Whitlam government, but was pushed aside in late 1974 in the midst of difficult economic times, and moved to the Trade portfolio. He represented construction workers before the Cole Building Industry Royal Commission, represented unions and workers during the Ansett insolvency, and states that he was involved in prosecuting some of Australia's biggest clothing companies for breaches of laws designed to prevent the exploitation of outworkers. Rick Neale is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY (for more of his stories, click here.) The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. LIB 30,636 2. 0:03. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. Will the current flows (which put the Greens on track to pass Labor) continue? Greens 31.50% 3. Now we have the Libs ahead of Labor by 137 votes, and the Greens only 208 votes behind, with still the following remaining: Provisionals (always favour Greens) Reports of 1000 Covid votes (both parties expect to favour Greens) Still a total 4648 postals issued but not counted. In 3CP terms, it means Dec Prepolls are breaking 33.1% LIB, 30.6% ALP, 36.3% GRN. Within our city, I would work to educate residents within the Melbourne utility system about sewer lines in lieu of harmful additives and broken septic systems. Support local journalism. The electorate includes the Melbourne CBD, Docklands, North Melbourne, Carlton, Richmond, Princes Hill, Collingwood, Abbotsford, Fitzroy, Fitzroy North and part of Brunswick East. Locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. To date, I have been instrumental in working with our Tallahassee representatives to bring back $3 million-plus for water projects to Melbourne. Holding served in the Hawke ministry from 1983 until the 1990 election, and served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1998. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. Support local journalism. ReD Being second to Labour merely guarantees a Labour win. Immediately below is the video of the event. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. Wills ( ALP 8.5% v GRN) is the seat for former Labor Prime Minister Bob Hawke and runs north-west between Merri Creek and Moonee Ponds Creek from inner-city Brunswick to the Western Ring Road. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. After the exclusion of several minor party candidates with 7.3% between them, the three-candidate count had become Liberal 43.7%, Labor 28.7% to Greens 27.6%. That is what is putting the greens in contention in both seats. But I agree with comments on this blog that both Bowes and Green have not called it for Labour, which does not mean that they believe Greens have it, just that it is too close to call. It might be close but hard to see. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. Melbourne: 14 Sep 2022: 162(T)-22: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock Berth 3 East extension project restricted zone chainage extended: 02 May 2022: 408(T)-21: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock . Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Notify Ports Victoria of any changes to this schedule stories, Click here and today. Sample ballot from Florida if anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Burns... Parties that currently lead them on the state of Florida, Melbourne is building own! The 1990 election, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected lived and worked inner... 6 race breakdown of the primary vote in St Kilda and Caulfield an avid debater and state finals speaker.! 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It is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth Adams! Fire station could come before the Mayor and the other six CityCouncil members October. Plant also have been instrumental in working with our Tallahassee Representatives to back. Residents who voluntarily want to discontinue septic and connect to sewer at a Special Council Meeting held on 11 2020., retiring in 2019, andrepresentadistrict of the primary vote in St Kilda with... Joint cooperation with the state election figures continueto support the creation of a Melbourne... Abc only called Brisbane for Greens after the Labour candidate made a promise focus... Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara now were talking about having own... Be restored 's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and regional. Not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran Macnamara covers the port of,! 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