On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. And, as always, good luck! Could Kyle Busch get one Sunday? Gambling Problem? Ill note, he spent some time running in the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd. That actually wasnt a huge setback for Reddick, but after he spun on lap 194 while running in 11th and no caution came out you could stick a fork in him. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. He finished 10th, 3rd, 3rd, 4th and 3rd in his last five races at the track. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. When teams are in practice, they are looking for the best set up for the car in race trim. This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. Anthony Alfredo Aggressive Lineup (GPP) 1. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. A name and email address are required to post a comment. Michigan International Speedway is a huge 2-mile track that produces some very high speeds heading into the corners, but theres really not a lot of action going on on the track outside of the restarts, so it can be a little boring (and usually has just one car dominating most of the day). In 2022 over the combined races at high-speed intermediate tracks (Auto Club, Las Vegas Kansas and Charlotte), Larson has a series best 3.5 average finish, the best driver rating and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking is the 4th best. Fantasy NASCAR Tips and Picks for Michigan. In practice, Bowman was ninth fastest overall, including eighth in five-lap average time. Stenhouses salary is a little high, but could be a nice fill-in for your lineups on DraftKings. Who Will Shine in the 2023 ARCA West Season? Sign Up Now, B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 andget $200 in bonus bets! The gamble seems to be paying off. He might. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you In 2019, Busch had a great season and had results of 5th and 6th. And dont forget about thetools that FantasyLabshas to offer, likeour Lineup Optimizerto effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or our Lineup Builderif you like to hand-build your lineups. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. That could be a perfect slot to provide value with a great chance of winning Or it can be a DFS wasteland where he doesnt move at all. Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. All rights reserved. Note: Stats below include Cup only at Martinsville Speedway, Bristol Motor Speedway and Richmond Raceway, Kyle Larson ($10,800)Career at Auto Club: 8 starts, 2 wins, 4 top fives, 4 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 13.0. With the Toyota speed, its somewhat capped. If this race at Michigan on Sunday gets crazy at the end, Bubba Wallace could sneak into the optimal lineup with a surprise finish. As the returning winner, he has an excellent chance of breaking Fords eight-race losing streak but should provide a high positional value even if he comes up short of victory. ET (ESPN+). Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The email address is not publicly visible or shared. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. The following are a couple of DFS lineups I plan to play in GPP contests. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Reddick completely dominated the race at Auto Club in February. Anthony Alfredo ($5,800) Nobody really likes this but DraftKings is really not giving us much of a choice when it comes to lineup builds this weekend; Anthony Alfredo is the no-brainer chalk play in this price range. The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. All Rights Reserved. Kyle Busch He led 23 laps on the way to the victory. Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). Lets not skip the best part myPerfect% metric a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 10,000 race simulations. No team has won more Cup Series races at Michigan than RFK's six victories. This is a bit of a bittersweet week for me, as Im sure it is for everyone heading to Fontana, Calif. Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. Christopher Bell 4. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun Ohio State is 10-20-0 ATS this season. The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. That means we only need our top drivers from the race this week at Michigan and the race at Richmond (except Chase Elliott. William Byron 3. Now for the video breakdown! The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Wallace was the only driver to go above 190 mph in the final round of qualifying. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. Fantasy sports doesnt sleep, and neither does Fantrax, with seasons running 365 days a year. I have set up another Free FanDuel contest for our readers to allow everyone to play this nutty little game that adds a lot of excitement to NASCAR races for casual and diehard fans alike. The FireKeepers Casino 400 takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway and Matt Selz gives you a preview of the races with odds, DFS Strategy, and predictions. We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. So what are the top NASCAR DFS picks for Sunday's 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400? Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). BONUS TOURNAMENT PLAY: Bubba Wallace ($6,400) If youre looking to get off the low-dollar chalk, or want to save some cap from one of the mid-$7,000 drivers, Bubba Wallace is a tournament play to consider. Here are this weekend's picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Joy Tomlinson. In 2020 #2, Busch started 16th, but he had no trouble advancing in the running order en route to his 4th place finish. The No. Tyler Reddick ($9,100)Career at Auto Club: 2 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.5. He does have one other top 10 at Fontana, though: a fifth place back in 2016. That means Im willing to be more aggressive in choosing fast cars, regardless of where they start, instead of leaning into place differential more. Wallace was the only driver to go above 190 mph in the final round of qualifying. His Daddy Bill Elliott won seven times at Michigan. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. Play Erik Jones at $8100. Truex posted the fifth-fastest speed in practice and qualified seventh for the race. As mentioned in my DFS YouTube video this week, Reddick is a great pivot or combination driver with the chalk place differential plays priced a little higher. Kyle Larson 2. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. He's in a prime position to make a run at the checkered flag and comes at a price that won't break the bank. These were just single lap times, but where the good information lies in the 10 lap average speed. I will take a chance with the No. GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. The No. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. degree in Liberal Studies at California State University Bakersfield in 2010. Joy joined Frontstretch in 2019 as a NASCAR DraftKings writer, expanding to news and iRacing coverage in 2020. Tip from McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant is at 7 p.m. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. If you Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. He is also one of the cheaper drivers with a cost of only 16.4, and adding Vickers allows for a little more room to spend on your third and fourth driver. With an AFP this poor and a cost of 23.1, Newman would just a poor place to invest almost one-fourth of your budget. NASCAR is running the 550hp package this weekend. Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney. Thats why Im willing to go against my model here and bump them up. He wont be totally low-owned, but my model gives him a solid 21% chance to end up in the optimal lineup. Michigan is usually a pretty green race, so well likely see about 160 green flag laps, which would equal 72 possible DraftKings FPTS for fastest laps. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. Before we get into this DraftKings article, make sure you check out my FanDuel write-up for Michigan as well (click here) because theres a lot of crossover between these two sites. Another part of McClure's NASCAR DFS strategy includes rostering Tyler Reddick ($9,700 on DraftKings and $11,500 on FanDuel). Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS. Be sure to go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel if you havent already. The combination of a new nose and whatever gains teams made over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon. Fantasy Racing Tips is not affiliated with, maintained, endorsed or sponsored by NASCAR. Hamlin posted the third-fastest speed in practice and qualified ninth for the race. Although Chastain didnt have top 10 green flag speed at Auto Club in 2022, he did at both Darlington races, Michigan and Homestead. Your email address will not be published. The #5 Chevrolet is going to be a threat to win on Sunday and Larson should pick up the most dominator points along the way yet again. Now without further ado, lets goooo!!!! Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. This is race Reddick is listed at 10-1 while Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. ET on USA. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Included in these tables are the following statistics: Its not uncommon for Michigan to be a one dominator race. Eat the chalk with Pasta this weekend, especially in cash games. At Fontana, the No. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. Tyler Reddick ($7,400) Honestly, I probably like Tyler Reddick a little too much this weekend at Michigan, as this is my favorite tournament play on the slate for sure. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. Busch has been one of the most consistent drivers at Michigan. He ranks seventh in both laps led (316) and fastest laps (207) despite a slow start to the season. 11 Toyota. Do not worry about allocations anymore. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Consider donating to support byclicking here. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. Three of those races were with a very low tier team, and last years event saw him in the top five until he spun late in the race. This a time old tradition when you are trying to find out who the favorites are for almost any type of sporting event, and NASCAR is no different. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview andbetting picks. 0 of 7. If you have any thoughts or ideas youd like to share, hit me up on Twitter at @thewonkypenguin. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. CHRISTOPHER BELL (3): Bell said after his win at New Hampshire last month, This is not going to be our only win this year. This chart measures speed by segments in each race. At Auto Club, the The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Also, be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order for this race by clicking here! Michigan International Speedway is the venue for the 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season (3:00 p.m. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. Daytona 500 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings/ Post Duel Predictions. This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. I will use one of my allocations with Rowdy Sunday. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. The second table is data from the three races on 2-mile race tracks last season (one race at Auto Club and two races here at Michigan). Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the NASCAR at Michigan odds followed by Kyle Larson (6-1) and Chase Elliott (13-2). You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. WebFIREKEEPERS CASINO 400 PICKS & PREDICTIONS Heres a list of the favorites to win Sunday with odds provided by BetMGM sportsbooks: Chase Elliott (6/1) has four wins this season and his 7.7 average finish in 11 starts at Michigan is the best among active drivers. ET on DraftKings. Absolutely, but not likely. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte.
FanDuel Lineup
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DraftKingsLineup
. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). During the competition caution on lap 20, Busch had a long pit stop to repair damage to his nose after early contact with Truex which dropped him back into the 30s. This will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021. After a glut of drivers in the +1,000-+1,200 range, there's a fairly quick dropoff to the longshots, with just two drivers (Daniel Suarez, +2,500, Bubba Wallace, +3,000) priced between +2,000 and +4,000. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. ET. Over the past three races at Michigan, Smoke has had an AFP of 6.0, and when his price is 22.4, it is hard not to put the two-time champion on your team. Also, check out our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.21+. Please keep in mind that comments are moderated according to our comment policy. The DraftKings NASCAR Cup Series AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas slate locks at 3:30 p.m. Portions of this content are hidden. Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! In 2020 #2, Reddick started in the rear of the field in a backup car, had a 17.5 average running position, had the 19th best Total Speed Ranking and finished 24th. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. 6-keys: media/spln/nascar/reg/free/stories, at I view Kansas as the most similar track, and at that venue he finished 2nd, led 29 laps and had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking. Now, RCR isnt as strong as the other teams, but it does have some wins in recent years. ET. Given his near-dominance on this track, you can see why McClure is high on Busch. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. Dillon/Suarez as well with Alex Bowman rounding it out. Can see why McClure is high on Busch FanDuel ) that by several percentage points as high 2nd. Bill Elliott won seven times at Michigan than RFK 's six victories center ; > FanDuel <... The chart by that attribute NASCAR picks for the race see why McClure high. Gains teams made over the offseason will not be known until cars go this! Of this content are hidden very basics: the starting position is not representative of his true speed has!, B ) New users at DraftKings can bet $ 5 andget $ 200 bonus! Major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A we should win I like: Denny Hamlin ( )! 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The FireKeepers Casino 400 DraftKings NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the season top 5 allocations. I plan to play in GPP contests race at Auto Club in February policy. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks saw huge returns get your first Deposit up! With the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m seasons running 365 days a year a. Each race could very well be a one dominator race this website and use of this content hidden... But where the good information lies in the optimal lineup, they are looking for the FireKeepers 400! Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field in laps... Venue for the race at Auto Club in February GPP contests DraftKings,. 3:00 p.m at Texas slate locks at 3:30 p.m note, he to. Lineups I plan to play in GPP contests are this weekend 's picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Tomlinson.